Weekly Market Sentiment Report: 22nd January - 29th January 2023
The Weekly Market Sentiment Report: 22/01/2023 - 29/01/2023
This report covers the weekly market sentiment and positioning and any changes that have occurred which might present interesting configurations on different asset classes with a specific focus on currencies. The below shows the table of contents of the report:
The Artemis Indicator: A Tactical Reversal Tool on the S&P500
Introduction to the Artemis Indicator
S&P500
Historical Track Record
The White Index: The Bullish Continuation Indicator
Introduction to the White Index
S&P500
Historical Track Record
Vision: The Long Short Polyvalent Indicator
Introduction to Vision
S&P500
Historical Track Record
Bitcoin Tactical Sentiment Index: A Short-Term Reversal Indicator on Bitcoin
Introduction to the Bitcoin Tactical Sentiment Index
Bitcoin.
Historical Track Record
The AAII: A New Comer to the Sentiment Indicators’ Party
Introduction to the AAII Strategy
S&P500
Historical Track Record
The COT Meter: Simplifying the Commitmento of Traders
Introduction to the COT Report
The COT Meter
Important Legal Disclaimer
Main points:
The Artemis indicator, the star of the the forecasts lately, is not showing any signals at the moment.
No strong signals are shown from the AAII sentiment indicator.
The COT meter is showing extreme values on some currencies which may mean some corrections are due.
1. The Artemis Indicator
The Artemis Indicator is born out of a transformation of the put-call ratio, a sentiment indicator published by the CBOE which can help with predicting the S&P500. It is a daily indicator.
The following Figure shows the recent signal chart.
The validity of signals is variable and depends on the appearance of a new signal.
Conclusion
At the moment, there is no new signal. This indicator is currently the protagonist of the report.
The next table shows the historical non-binding track record of the model using the back-testing rules described in the introductory post. Remember that past results are not representative of future results.
2. The White Index
Long-only traders who like to time the dips and follow the upside trend (during a bullish market) should monitor the White Index as it has been specifically designed for this purpose.